Nn Baseline Model Results

Here are the latest results after running the baseline nn model on the ssp245 test scenario.

Kaggle Score

Metric	Score
nNSE (↑)	-0.465821

Quantitative Results

Variable	R²
`tas` (Near-Surface Air Temperature)	0.662
`tasmax` (Daily Max Temperature)	0.642
`tasmin` (Daily Min Temperature)	0.657
`pr` (Precipitation)	-0.082
`huss` (Specific Humidity)	0.557
`psl` (Sea Level Pressure)	0.205
`sfcWind` (Surface Wind Speed)	0.125

Climate Extreme Indices Metrics:

Index	Description	Unit	RMSE	R2
FD	Frost Days	days	8.098 days	-1.294
SU	Summer Days (Tmax ≥ 25°C)	days	9.172 days	-0.248
ID	Ice Days (Tmax < 0°C)	days	8.472 days	-1.174
TR	Tropical Nights (Tmin ≥ 20°C)	days	7.390 days	-0.119
GSL	Growing Season Length	days	9.183 days	0.298
TXX	Monthly Max of Daily Tmax	°C	3.816 °C	-0.606
TNN	Monthly Min of Daily Tmin	°C	4.215 °C	0.034
WSDI	Warm Spell Duration Index	days	58.704 days	-1.922
CSDI	Cold Spell Duration Index	days	3.311 days	-0.112
RX5DAY	Max 5-day Precipitation	mm	34.615 mm	-2.165
CDD	Consecutive Dry Days	days	204.257 days	-921.49
CWD	Consecutive Wet Days	days	83.093 days	-544.811
R95P	Total Precip above 95th pct	mm	0.004 mm	-9.783
SDII	Simple Daily Intensity Index	mm day⁻¹	4.457 mm day⁻¹	-62.973
R10MM	Days with Precip ≥10mm	days	22.563 days	-11.757

Visual Results

The visualizations for spatial maps and time series comparisons are generated within the playground.ipynb notebook. Below are all visuals from nn_visuals/.

Spatial Comparison Maps

result_map_huss_2015-02-20.png	result_map_pr_2015-02-20.png

result_map_psl_2015-02-20.png	result_map_sfcWind_2015-02-20.png

result_map_tas_2015-02-20.png	result_map_tasmax_2015-02-20.png

result_map_tasmin_2015-02-20.png

Time Series Comparisons

result_timeseries_huss_40.0_-95.0.png	result_timeseries_pr_40.0_-95.0.png

result_timeseries_psl_40.0_-95.0.png	result_timeseries_sfcWind_40.0_-95.0.png

result_timeseries_tas_40.0_-95.0.png	result_timeseries_tasmax_40.0_-95.0.png

result_timeseries_tasmin_40.0_-95.0.png

Scatter Plots

result_scatter_huss_2015-02-20.png	result_scatter_pr_2015-02-20.png

result_scatter_psl_2015-02-20.png	result_scatter_sfcWind_2015-02-20.png

result_scatter_tas_2015-02-20.png	result_scatter_tasmax_2015-02-20.png

result_scatter_tasmin_2015-02-20.png

Other Visualizations

index_map_CDD_2065-01-01.png	index_map_CSDI_2065-01-01.png

index_map_CWD_2065-01-01.png	index_map_FD_2065-01-01.png

index_map_GSL_2065-01-01.png	index_map_ID_2065-01-01.png

index_map_R10mm_2065-01-01.png	index_map_R95p_2065-01-01.png

index_map_Rx5day_2019-03-01.png	index_map_SDII_2065-01-01.png

index_map_SU_2065-01-01.png	index_map_TNn_2019-03-01.png

index_map_TR_2065-01-01.png	index_map_TXx_2019-03-01.png

index_map_WSDI_2065-01-01.png	index_timeseries_CDD_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_CSDI_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_CWD_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_FD_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_GSL_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_ID_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_R10mm_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_R95p_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_Rx5day_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_SDII_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_SU_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_TNn_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_TR_40.0_-95.0.png

index_timeseries_TXx_40.0_-95.0.png	index_timeseries_WSDI_40.0_-95.0.png